耕地保有量分析和保护对策研究——以山东青岛市为例

ANALYSIS ON ARABLE LAND RETAIN QUANTITY AND STUDIES ON ITS PROTECTION COUNTER MEASURES——TAKING QINGDAO CITY OF SHANDONG PROVINCE AS AN EXAMPLE

关键词:  耕地保有量  粮食安全  预测  对策  山东青岛市

Key words:  arable land retaining quantity,grain safety,forecast,counter measure,Qingdao City of Shandong Province

摘要:

在社会经济快速发展的形势下,保持耕地面积基本稳定,质量有所提高,是保障我国粮食安全、社会安全、生态安全和经济安全的根本所在。该文以山东青岛市为例,探讨了确定规划期耕地保有量的方法,进行了基于粮食生产能力的耕地需求量预测;结合国民经济发展及各用地部门需求,考虑规划期间耕地减少和耕地增加的各种可能性,估算了耕地的可供给量,最终确定了2010年和2020年的耕地保有量;然后从行政、法律、经济和科技4个方面提出了耕地保护对策。

Abstract:

Under the situation of rapid social and economic development,it is ultimate for securing grain safety,society safety,ecological safety and economic safety in China to retain the basic stability of arable land areas and improve their quality.This paper takes Qingdao City of Shandong Province as an example,discusses the method of confirming arable land retaining quantity in planned period;carries out forecast for arable land demand based on grain productivity;considers various possibilities of arable land increase and decrease during planned period combining the national economic development and the requirement of every land use department;estimates the possible supplying quantity of arable land;and at last,confirm the arable land retaining quantities for 2010 and 2020.The paper puts forward counter measures for protecting arable land from administration,law,economy,science and technology 4 fields.