| 摘要: |
| 该文是基于粮食安全视角下对发展福建生物质能这一新兴产业做出的思考。从生物质能源发展引 发的粮食安全与能源安全的平衡思索切入，通过运用蛛网模型分析，并借助Granger因果检验方法和ECM 模型对玉米价格与乙醇价格之间的因果关系做出判断，通过实证研究，从而对生物质能源发展是如何影响 粮食安全的内在机理做深入探讨。 |
| 关键词: 生物质能源 粮食安全 影响 机理分析 |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20110609 |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:福建省发展生物质能源产业的建议与对策，闽教科，[2008]12号资助 |
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| MECHANISM ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF BIOMASS ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ON FOOD SECURITY IN FUJIAN PROVINCE |
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Liu Feixiang1, Liu Weiping2
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1.College of crop science， Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University ，fuzhou 350002;2.College of economics and management， Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University，Fuzhou Fujian 350002
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| Abstract: |
| On the prospective of food security， the paper analyzed the biomass energy， a new industry， in Fujian. Firstly impacts of the development of biomass energy on food and energy security were considered， and then， by u- sing methods of the cobweb model， granger causality， and ECM model， the long-term causality between corn prices and ethanol prices was evaluated. Finally， how the development of biomass energy affected food and energy security was discussed. |
| Key words: biomass energy food security impact mechanism analysis |
