区域资源承载力的测算与规制  ———以贵州省毕节市为例

THE CALCULATION OF REGIONAL RESOURCES CAPACITY AND ITS REGULATION ON POPULATION

关键词:  区域资源承载力 人口承载力 区域资源规制 毕节市

Key words:  regional resources capacity  population carrying capacity  regional resources regulation  Bijie city

摘要:

区域资源承载力是判定区域发展可持续性的重要基础，尤其是判断区域人口是否超载的重要依 据。该文以我国典型喀斯特地区毕节市为例，采用常规趋势法测算了地区基于水资源和土地资源的人口承 载力，据此提出了资源承载力规制的理念，并讨论了以资源承载力为手段对毕节市经济社会发展进行有效 规制的基本路径。水资源是毕节市人口扩张的主要限制因素。为保证区域可持续发展，须以承载力为依据 和手段对经济社会发展进行规制，实行以水管人的制度、生态移民、健康城镇化和新型工业化是毕节市资 源承载力规制的重要途径。

Abstract:

Regional resources carrying capacity is an important basis for judging the sustainability of regional devel- opment， especially for estimating the overloading of population carrying capacity. Taking the Bijie city of Guizhou province， a typical karst area， as an example， population carrying capacity based on land resources and water re- sources are calculated in this paper with the method of conventional trend. And then a new concept is proposed， named resources carrying capacity regulation. And special emphasis is paid on the means and pathways to regula- ting regional economic and social development with the tool of resources carrying capacity in Bijie. The result indi- cated that regional resources capacity can be applied to judge the development condition of karst regions. And the city of Bijie definitely had the problem of severe population overloading. Water resources were the primary limiting factor for population expansion for Bijie. It was necessary to regulate economic and social development with the means of carrying capacity， so as to ensure the regional sustainable development. Limiting population scale accord- ing to natural resources， ecologic migration， healthy urbanization and new industrialization were the main methods of regional resources regulation in the city of Bijie.