| 摘要: |
| 利用1996～2008年的统计资料，研究了近12年来福建省耕地变化过程与人口增长、经济发展之 间的动态变化关系，建立了耕地面积与人口数量、GDP、社会固定资产投资间的线性模型。结果表明: 1996年以来，福建省耕地面积经历了急剧减少-缓慢减少-急剧减少-缓慢减少的变化过程;近12年来 福建省耕地面积变化的主要驱动力是人口增长、经济发展、社会固定资产投资的增加，与3个影响因素之 间存在具有显著的负相关性;国家政策引导和宏观调控对耕地面积变化有很大的影响。 |
| 关键词: 耕地变化 经济发展 人口增长 福建省 |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20130406 |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:基金项目:福建省科技计划项目（2010R1029-2） |
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| ANALYSIS ON THE CORRELATION OF CULTIVATED LAND CHANGE WITH POPULATION GROWTH AND ECONOMY INCREASE IN FUJINA PROVINCE |
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Bai liyue1, Qiu Changying2, Huang xi2, Chen Xiuling2
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1.Institute of Geographical Sciences，Fujian Normal University，Fuzhou 350007/Institute of Agriculture Regional Planning of Fujian Province， Fuzhou 350003;2.Institute of Agriculture Regional Planning of Fujian Province， Fuzhou 350003
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| Abstract: |
| Based on the statistical data from 1996 to 2008， this paper， using the statistical analysis method， dis- cussed the dynamic change relationships between the cultivated land and the growth of population， GDP， and social fixed assets investment in Fujian province. Three correlation models were formulated， i.e.， the linear models be- tween cultivated land and population， and GDP， and social fixed assets investment. The results showed that culti- vated land area had experienced a process of rapid reduction- slow reduction- rapid reduction- slow reduction in Fujian province. The main driving forces changing cultivated land area were population growth， economic devel- opment and social fixed assets investment increase. Cultivated land area had significantly negative correlations with population， GDP and social fixed assets investment. Additionally， the conduction and macro control of national pol- icy had a great influence on cultivated land area change. |
| Key words: cultivated land change economic development population growth Fujian province |
