我国农业产业链生产、加工与销售环节的动态博弈优化研究

OPTIMIZATION OF DYNAMIC GAME ON PRODUCTION,PROCESSING AND MARKETING OF AGRICULTURAL INDUSTRY CHAIN

关键词:  农业产业链 生产与加工环节 加工与销售环节 博弈分析

Key words:  agricultural industrial chain  production and processing  processing and marketing  game analysis

摘要:

针对我国农业产业链各环节经营主体之间关系松散、行为冲突、违约频发等现象，在理论分析和实际调研的前提下，归纳设计了基于不同环节不同经营主体之间的动态博弈模型，即产业链生产与加工环节基于收购价格高低动态博弈模型，以及产业链加工与销售环节基于销售成本隐瞒的动态博弈模型，并求解出相关经营主体达到最优化决策需要满足的条件。为了验证模型的可行性和有效性，选取黑龙江省水稻产业链进行案例分析和经验总结，最后给出了相应的政策建议，推动我国农业产业链健康稳定发展。

Abstract:

Agricultural industry chain showed that the cooperation among the members had some problems, such as the loose, the existence of contradictions, in violation of the contract, etc.Through the oretical analysis and practical investigation, this paper designed a dynamic game model of agricultural industry chain, including production, processing and sales. The model included the price dynamic game model for the production and processing, and the cost dynamic game model for processing and sales, by which the optimization decision can be calculated for the business entities. In order to verify the feasibility of the model, this paper analyzed and summarized the rice industry chain in Heilongjiang province, provided the corresponding policy recommendations to promote the healthy and stable development of agricultural industry chain.