库车县棉农农业技术需求的影响因素研究

INFLUENCING FACTORS ON THE COTTON FARMERS` DEMAND FOR AGRICULTURAL TECHNOLOGY IN KUCHE COUNTY

关键词:  库车县 棉 农农业技术需求 影响因素

Key words:  Kuche county  cotton farmers  agricultural technology demand  influence factors

摘要:

随着新疆棉花产业现代化进程的不断推进，农业技术在棉花生产和经营过程中起着十分重要的推动作用，建立符合农户需求的新型农业技术服务体系是实现新疆棉区农业现代化的必由之路。文章通过对库车县的实地调查，运用二元Logistic回归模型，分析不同特征的棉农对最为迫切需要的三大农业技术需求的影响因素。结果表明，户主性别、户主年龄、当前是否务农、家庭年收入、样本村是否有农业合作社等5个变量分别通过显著性检验。其中，只有户主年龄在3个模型中都通过显著性检验，说明户主年龄是库车县棉农对农业技术需求的决定性因素。并基于研究结果提出改善库车县农业技术服务的对策建议。

Abstract:

With the development of Xinjiang cotton industry modernization, agricultural technology plays a very important role in cotton production and management process. To establish a new agricultural technology service system in line with farmers′ demands is the only way to realize agriculture modernization of Xinjiang cotton region. In this paper, based on the field survey in Kuche county, the binary Logistic regression model was used to analyze the influence factors of different characteristics of farmers for the three most urgent need of agricultural technology. The results showed that and the five variables, such as the gender, age of householder, whether the current farming, family income, and sample village agricultural cooperatives, had significant impact. Among them, only the age of household in the three models passed the test of significance, indicating it was a decisive factor in farmers′ demand for agricultural technology. Finally, some suggestions were put forward to improve the agricultural technology service in Kuche county.