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引用本文:卢冰冰,陈玉兰,赵向豪.目标价格改革对新疆棉农收入的影响机理及实证研究——基于南疆四地州370个样本农户的实地调查[J].中国农业资源与区划,2018,39(5):120~127
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目标价格改革对新疆棉农收入的影响机理及实证研究——基于南疆四地州370个样本农户的实地调查
卢冰冰, 陈玉兰, 赵向豪
新疆农业大学经济与贸易学院,乌鲁木齐 830052
摘要:
[目的]通过探讨目标价格改革对棉农收入的影响机理,揭示影响南疆四地州棉农增收的主要因素。[方法]从棉农角度出发,基于南疆四地州370个样本农户的实地调研数据,结合当地特有的自然地理、农业生产、社会经济条件以及目标价格政策实施状况,理论分析目标价格补贴对棉农增收的作用机理,并运用多元线形回归模型实证分析目标价格补贴政策等对棉农收入的作用方向和影响程度。[结果]户主受教育程度、是否外出务工、社会关系、棉花种植面积、县域经济发展水平和棉花销售价格等对棉农人均收入均存在显著影响。[结论]基于此,要避免将补贴化为主要的收入保障措施,继续加快土地流转,扩大棉农财产性收入来源,加快新型职业农民培育,发展农民职业教育,加快县域经济发展,多管齐下,破解制约南疆民族地区棉农增收难题。
关键词:  目标价格改革 棉农收入 影响机理 资源禀赋 南疆四地州
DOI:
分类号:F323.8;F323.7
基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目“棉花市场化改革对新疆南疆少数民族植棉区棉农收入影响及经济政治效应研究”(15CMZ042);西北农林科技大学西部发展研究院定向委托项目(2016XBYD006);新疆研究生科研创新项目(XJGRI2017059)
IMPACT MECHANISM AND ITS EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF TARGET PRICE REFORM ON XINJIANG COTTON FARMERS' INCOME ——A FIELDSURVEY BASED ON A SAMPLE OF 370 RURAL FARMERS IN THE FOUR DISTRICS IN SOUTHERN XINJIANG
Lu Bingbing, Chen Yulan, Zhao Xianghao
School of Economy &Trade, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China
Abstract:
By discussing the impact mechanism of the target price reform on the farmers' income, the paper reveals the main factors that affect the cotton farmers' income increase in the four districts in southern Xinjiang. From the perspective of cotton farmers, based on the field research data of 370 rural farmers in the four districts in southern Xinjiang, this paper theoretically analyzes the mechanism of the target price subsidies to farmers' income increase and uses multivariate linear regression model to analyze the direction and impact of the target price subsidy policy on the income of farmers, combined with the peculiar physical geography, agricultural production, socio-economic conditions and the implementation of the target price policy. The results show that the education degree of the head of households, whether migrant workers, social relations, cotton acreage, county economic development and cotton sales price, etc. have a significant impact on cotton farmers per capita income. It is necessary to refrain from turning subsidies into major income security measures, continue to speed up the transfer of land, expand the sources of property income for farmers, speed up the cultivation of new types of professional farmers, develop farmer vocational education, accelerate the development of county economy, and use multi-pronged approaches to break constraints of the southern Xinjiang ethnic minority cotton farmers' income increase.
Key words:  target price reform  cotton farmers' income  impact mechanism  natural resources  four districts in southern Xinjiang
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