淄博市新型城镇化与农业现代化耦合度研究

RESEARCH ON THE COUPLING OF NEW URBANIZATION AND AGRICULTURAL MODERNIZATION IN ZIBO CITY

关键词:  新型城镇化农业现代化耦合指标体系淄博市

Key words:  new urbanization  agricultural modernization  coupling  index system  Zibo city

摘要:

［目的］新型城镇和农业现代化作为四化同步发展的重要组成部分，研究两者间的耦合度有利于区域甚至全国城乡经济社会一体化的发展。［方法］以淄博市为例，采用数据包络分析法对新型城镇化和农业现代化间的耦合度进行实证分析。［结果］2008—2017年淄博市新型城镇化和农业现代化协调发展的程度逐年增加，但一直处于次优水平，其中2008—2017年农业现代化推动新型城镇化的程度逐年增加，处于次优水平， 2008—2017年新型城镇化带动农业现代化的程度也逐年增加，同时2008—2015年处于次优水平2016—2017年处于最优水平； 同时2017年淄博市各区县新型城镇化和农业现代化协调度均处于次优水平，且新型城镇化带动农业现代化的程度相对于农业现代化推动新型城镇化的程度低，其中博山区、桓台县、高清县和沂源县的农业现代化推动新型城镇化的程度处于最优水平，其他区县处于次优水平，张店区的新型城镇化带动农业现代化的程度处于最优水平，其他区县处于次优水平。［结论］实现淄博市新型城镇化和农业现代化的均衡协调发展，必须加大农业现代化推动新型城镇化的程度，以核心区域辐射周边区县，进而促进两者的协调发展。

Abstract:

As a key component of the simultaneous development of the four modernizations, the new type of urban and agricultural modernization, the study of the coupling between the two is conducive to the development of regional and even national economic and social integration of urban and rural areas. Taking Zibo City as an example, the paper used data envelopment analysis to empirically analyze the coupling between new urbanization and agricultural modernization. The degree of coordinated development of new urbanization and agricultural modernization in Zibo city had increased year by year from 2008 to 2017, but it was still at a sub optimal level and needed to be improved. The role of agricultural modernization in promoting new urbanization had been increasing year by year from 2008 to 2017, and it was at a sub optimal level, driven by new urbanization. The role of new urbanization had also increased year by year from 2008 to 2017, and it had been at a sub optimal level from 2008 to 2015, and it had been at an optimal level from 2016 to 2017. At the same time, the coordinated development of new urbanization and agricultural modernization in all districts and counties in Zibo in 2017 was at the sub optimal level. The role of modernization in promoting new urbanization was stronger than the role of new urbanization in stimulating agricultural modernization. The role of agricultural modernization in Boshan district, Huantai county, Hidden county, and Weiyuan county in promoting new urbanization was at an optimal level. Other counties and counties were ranked second. At the level of excellence, the role of new urbanization in Zhangdian district in stimulating agricultural modernization was at an optimal level, while other districts and counties were at a sub optimal level. We should realize the balanced development of new urbanization and agricultural modernization in Zibo city, increase the role of modernization of agriculture in promoting new type urbanization, and make core areas to radiate peripheral counties and counties to promote the coordinated development.