乡村振兴战略下农村产业融合、人力资本与农民增收*——以浙江省为例

RURAL INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATION, HUMAN CAPITAL AND FARMERS′ INCOME GROWTH UNDER THE RURAL REVITALAZATION STRATEGY*——AKING ZHEJIANG PROVINCE AS AN EXAMPLE

关键词:  乡村振兴农村产业融合人力资本农民增收面板数据

Key words:  rural revitalization  rural industrial integration  human capital  increase of farmers  panel dat

摘要:

［目的］乡村振兴战略是贯彻新发展理念，建设现代化经济强国的重大战略之一。农村产业兴旺，农民生活富裕是乡村振兴战略的重要目标。农村一、二、三产业融合发展是实现乡村产业振兴，农民增收的重要途径。农村人力资本状况关系到农村产业融合的人才建设，关系到农民增收的实现。文章力图探究乡村振兴战略下农村产业融合、人力资本与农民增收间的相互作用关系，以期为乡村振兴战略的实现提供政策建议。［方法］以浙江省为例进行实证分析，通过建立PVAR模型，采用格兰杰因果关系及面板数据模型进行检验。［结果］农村产业融合及人力资本构成农民增收的格兰杰因果关系，两者都对农民增收产生显著影响，且人力资本影响效应更大。农民增收及人力资本对农村产业融合没有起到相应的促进作用。［结论］在实证分析的基础上，从加大人力资本投入、培育农村产业融合复合型人才及加强宣传引导工作等方面提出相应的政策建议促进农村产业融合。

Abstract:

The rural revitalization strategy is one of the major strategies for implementing the new development concept and building a modern economic power. The prosperity of rural industries and the affluence of farmers are important goals of the rural revitalization strategy. The integration and development of rural primary, secondary and tertiary industries is an important way to realize the revitalization of rural industries and increase farmers′ income. The rural human capital situation is related to the talent construction of rural industry integration, which is related to the realization of farmers′ income increase. This research attempts to explore the interaction between rural industry integration, human capital and farmers′ income growth under the rural revitalization strategy, with a view to providing policy recommendations for the realization of the rural revitalization strategy. Taking Zhejiang province as an example for empirical analysis, this research established a PVAR model, Granger causality and panel data models to test the result. The study found that the integration of rural industry and human capital constituted Granger causality of farmers′ income, both of which had a significant impact on farmers′ income, and the effect of human capital was greater. The increase in farmers′ income and human capital had not played a corresponding role in promoting the integration of rural industries. On the basis of empirical analysis, it proposes the corresponding policy recommendations to promote the integration of rural industries from the aspects of increasing human capital investment, cultivating rural industrial integration talents and strengthening publicity and guidance work.