基于SEM模型的农地规模经营意愿影响因素研究*——以江汉平原潜江市为例

RESEARCH ON INFLUENCING FACTORS OF FARMLAND SCALE OPERATION WILLINGNESS BASED ON SEM MODEL* ——A CASE OF QIANJIANG CITY

关键词:  农地规模经营意愿影响因素结构方程模型潜江市

Key words:  farmland  scale operation  influencing factors of willingness  SEM  Qianjiang

摘要:

［目的］乡村振兴战略背景下，受规模经营效益的驱动，农地流转和适度规模经营将不断推进，研究农地规模经营意愿的影响因素及贡献率，对进一步扩大农地适度经营规模、发展现代农业和助力乡村振兴具有重要的现实意义。［方法］文章以江汉平原潜江市为研究区，基于176份调查问卷数据，借助结构方程模型，定量诊断影响集约化农区农地规模经营意的愿影响因素及贡献。［结果］影响潜江市农地规模经营意愿的因素主要为生产经营、资源禀赋、流转束缚、环境特征、行为认知5个方面，假设的5个潜在变量路径系数分别为0331、0238、0218、0238、0240，均对农地规模经营意愿影响因素表现出显著的正向影响； 引入模型的19个影响因素中，新技术新用具运用、生产经营面积、地块数量和社会地位认知影响最为显著，而生产经济组织程度、流转租金、农业基础设施等因素的影响相对较小，最后从健全农地流转政策等方面提出了较合理的建议。［结论］研究对系统剖析集约化农区农地规模经营的主要影响因素及贡献、推动新时代下农业供给侧结构性改革对农地规模经营的决策需求具有重要的参考价值。

Abstract:

Under the background of Rural Revitalization Strategy, agricultural land transfer and suitable scale operation will be promoted continuously. Moderate scale management of agriculture is a good way to promote the income of agricultural practitioners in china, and it is also a practical choice for the development of modern agriculture and guaranteeing of national food security in the main agricultural areas. It will be of great practical significance to further improve the willingness of moderate scale management and expand the scale of land management. Taking Qianjiang city as an example, according to Structural Equation Model (SEM) and field survey data from 176 farmer samples, this paper empirically analyzed and validated the causing factors of appropriate scale management willingness in the main agricultural areas. The research results indicated that affecting factors of farmland scale operation in intensive agricultural region were divided into 5 potential variables, including agricultural production and operation, agricultural resource endowment, restriction of the transfer of farmland, environmental characteristic of agriculture and cognition of behavior of peasant. Calculated with AMOS, the path coefficients of 5 endogenous variables were 0.331, 0.238, 0.218, 0.238 and 0.240, and it was thought to have positive impact on affecting factors of farmland scale management, which reinforced the hypotheses of the research. For the 19 variables of the willingness model, the factors such as application of new technology and machinery, production area, land quantity and social status and recognition had the most significant impact on the willingness of agricultural moderate scale management. Agricultural production and management level, transferred renting level and agricultural infrastructure had low significant impacts. Finally, it put forward relevant policy suggestions from four aspects of accelerating land transfer, fostering new management model, accelerating the application of agricultural science and technology, and cracking financing bottleneck to promote appropriate scale management. These results provide practical reference for analyzing the causing factors of appropriate scale management willingness in intensive agricultural region and promoting the reform and policy decision of agricultural production practice under the new situation.