黑龙江省农户土地转出意愿影响因素实证研究

AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON INFLUENCING FACTORS OF FARMERS′ LAND TRANSFER WILLINGNESS IN HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE

关键词:  黑龙江农户土地流转土地转出意愿元分析

Key words:  Heilongjiang province  peasant household  land circulation  land transfer intention  meta analysis

摘要:

［目的］基于黑龙江省农户土地流转现状对其影响因素进行研究，旨在通过分析提升农户土地转出意愿途径推动土地流转和农业规模化生产。［方法］基于元分析的要求和步骤对黑龙江农户土地流转意愿进行实证研究，以农户个人特征、农户资源禀赋、农户所处环境特征和政策及生产特征4个层面来分析黑龙江农户土地转出意愿的影响因素。［结果］基于主效应分析发现农户土地转出意愿的影响因素主要有文化程度、年龄、性别、人均纯收入、耕地面积、非农收入比重以及是否签订土地流转合同。其中，农户年龄在土地转出意愿中的影响显著为负，有阻碍作用； 农户人均纯收入和耕地面积对土地转出意愿的影响显著为正，具有促进作用，说明土地转出的发生率在人均纯收入高和耕地面积较多的农户中相对较大； 政策的过渡与完善对受教育程度较低和年龄较大的农户的土地转出意愿在逐渐加强。［结论］黑龙江省日渐完善的土地流转政策以及地方政府的大力宣传对农户土地转出意愿的调节作用越发强烈。

Abstract:

Based on the current situation of land transfer of farmers in Heilongjiang province, the paper studies the influencing factors, aiming to promote land circulation and large scale agricultural production through the analysis of ways to promote farmers′ willingness to transfer land. Based on the requirements and steps of meta analysis, the paper made an empirical study on the willingness of rural households to transfer land in Heilongjiang province. The environmental characteristics, policies and production characteristics of farmers were analyzed to analyze the influencing factors of farmers′ willingness to land transfer in Heilongjiang province. Based on the principal effect analysis, it was found that the main influencing factors were education level, age, sex, per capita net income, cultivated land area, proportion of non agricultural income and whether to sign land transfer contract. Among them, the influence of farmers′ age on the willingness of land transfer was significantly negative and had a negative effect, while the per capita net income of farmers and the area of cultivated land had a significant positive effect on the willingness of land transfer. The results showed that the occurrence rate of land transfer was relatively large among the farmers with high per capita net income and more cultivated land, and the transition and improvement of the policy gradually strengthened the willingness of land transfer for the rural households with lower education level and older age. The influencing factors of farmers′ land transfer intention have different forms in different time nodes. The increasingly perfect land transfer policy and the local government′s vigorous propaganda have more and more strong regulating effect on the farmers′ land transfer intention.