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引用本文:缪建群,赵梅,黄国勤.南方丘陵山区农业可持续发展综合评价及实证分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2021,42(8):163~172
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南方丘陵山区农业可持续发展综合评价及实证分析
缪建群1,2,3,赵梅1,2,4,黄国勤1,2
1.江西农业大学生态科学研究中心,南昌 330045;2.作物生理生态与遗传育种教育部重点实验室,江西南昌 330045;3.江西农业大学计算机与信息工程学院,南昌 330045;4.江西省农业厅科技教育处,南昌 330046
摘要:
目的 基于农业可持续发展的内涵(农业经济、资源环境、文化科技和农村社会等四个方面),结合南方丘陵山区山多、森林覆盖率高的特点,通过实地调研并咨询农业相关方面的专家,构建了南方丘陵山区农业可持续发展评价指标体系;全面诊断南方丘陵山区农业可持续发展状况和存在的问题。方法 文章以江西省莲花县为实证,运用加权综合评价模型、协调度模型和发展障碍度模型对研究区农业可持续发展现状、可持续发展潜能和障碍因素进行分析研究。结果 研究区农业可持续发展综合能力处于良性增长的态势,2000—2016年农业可持续发展综合评价指数年均增长10.25%;可持续发展协调度综合指数0.78。结论 研究区农业可持续发展具有较好的前景;影响研究区农业可持续发展的主要障碍因素为农村社会,它对总体目标贡献了66.48%的障碍度。加快农村城镇化进程,减少农村贫困率有助于促进农村社会的和谐发展。
关键词:  农业  可持续发展  南方丘陵山区  综合评价  障碍因素
DOI:10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20210819
分类号:F323.22
基金项目:国家重点研发计划课题“长江中游双季稻三熟区资源优化配置机理与高效种植模式”(2016YFD0300208);国家自然科学基金项目“秸秆还田条件下紫云英施氮对土壤有机碳和温室气体排放的影响”(41661070);江西省重点研发计划资助项目“江西省稻田冬季循环农业模式及关键技术研究”(20161BBF60058)
COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION AND EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF AGRICULTURAL SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTHERN HILLY AND MOUNTAINOUS AREA
Miao Jianqun1,2,3, Zhao Mei1,2,4, Huang Guoqin1,2
1.Research Center on Ecological Science, Jiangxi Agriculture University, Nanchang 330045, Jiangxi, China;2.Key Laboratory of Crop Physiology, Ecology and Genetic Breeding, Ministry of Education, Nanchang 330045, Jiangxi, China;3.Computer and Information Engineering College, Jiangxi Agriculture University, Nanchang 330045, Jiangxi, China;4.Department of Science and Technology Education, Jiangxi Agricultural Department, Nanchang 330046, Jiangxi, China
Abstract:
Based on connotations of agricultural sustainable development including agricultural economy, resources and environment, agricultural science and technology and rural society, and combined with the characteristics of high coverage of forests and hills, this paper constructed the agricultural sustainable development evaluation index system of Lianhua county with reference to relevant research results and the opinions of local agricultural experts. Then, comprehensive weighted evaluation model, coordination degree model and development obstacle degree model were used to analyze the agricultural sustainable development standard in the county. The results showed that, firstly, sustainable development of agricultural production, agricultural economy and agricultural science and technology ability in Lianhua county were strong while comprehensive ability to develop sustainable agriculture was in a benign growth trend. From 2000 to 2016, the comprehensive evaluation index of agricultural sustainable development increased by 10.25% annually, and the comprehensive index of sustainable development coordination degree was 0.78. Secondly, agricultural resources and environment development was unsustainable, mostly as a result of poor sustainability in agricultural intensification, agricultural resources carrying capacity and ecological environment quality. In addition, social sustainable development ability is weak in the rural area, which may be accounted for 66.48% by obstacle factors such as poverty population and per capita rural labor burden. Therefore, it is vital to accelerate rural urbanization and reduce rural poverty rate in order to promote the harmonious development of the rural society.
Key words:  agriculture  sustainable development  southern hilly and mountainous area  comprehensive evaluation  obstacle factors
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