农地流转影响要素市场发育的机理与实证研究——基于面板中介效应模型的论证

THE MECHANISM AND EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE INFLUENCE OF FARMLAND TRANSFER ON FACTOR MARKET DEVELOPMENT——DEMONSTRATION BASED ON PANEL INTERMEDIARY EFFECT MODEL

关键词:  农地流转  资源配置  中介效应  遮掩效应  要素市场化

Key words:  farmland transfer  resources allocation  mediating effect  masking effect  factor marketization

摘要:

目的 要素市场化改革在我国农村市场化改革中相对滞后，农地流转作为完善要素市场发育的重要手段之一，其如何影响要素市场化水平是值得深入研究的问题，通过构建农地流转与要素市场化水平的分析框架，实证检验其中的作用机理。方法 文章基于2005—2019年的省际面板数据，引入劳动力市场与农业资本市场的间接作用，运用面板中介效应模型进行实证分析。结果 农地流转有利于提高要素市场化水平，农地流转率每上升1个百分点，要素市场化指数相应提高0.108，但存在显著的地域性差异。其中，劳动力市场在农地流转提高要素市场化水平过程中发挥部分中介效应作用，中介效应占比约为44.21%，农业资本市场发挥“遮掩效应”作用，遮掩效应占比约为3.72%。结论 我国各要素市场是一个相互联动的交易体系，农地市场的发育水平能够影响劳动力市场与农业资本市场的发育水平。因此，需稳步推进农村各要素市场协同发展，尤其关注劳动力市场与农村金融市场的发育水平，发挥“1+1>2”的资源整合效应。

Abstract:

The reform of factor marketization is relatively lagging behind in the reform of rural marketization in China. Farmland transfer is one of the important means to improve the development of factor market, it is a very valuable topic to study how the farmland transfer affects the level of factor marketization. This paper empirically tested the mechanism by constructing an analytical framework of the level of farmland transfer and factor marketization. Based on the inter provincial panel data from 2005 to 2019, it introduced labor market and agricultural capital market as the intermediary variables, and used the panel intermediary effect model for empirical analysis. The empirical results showed that: Farmland transfer was conducive to improving factor marketization level, as farmland transfer rate improved 1%, factor marketization index would increase by 0.108, and there were significant regional differences in this impact. Labor market played an partial mediating effect in improving the marketization level of farmland transfer, the mediating effect accounted for about 44.21%, and agricultural capital market played a "masking effect", accounting for about 3.72%. It is concluded that that the development level of farmland market will affect the level of rural labor market and agricultural capital market. Therefore, it is necessary to steadily promote the coordinated development of rural factor market, especially pay attention to the labor market and rural financial market, exert to the resource integration effect of “1+1>2”.