| 摘要: |
| 目的 党的二十大报告明确了要加快推动农业绿色发展，揭示当前国家政策主推的农业社会化服务试点政策在推动农业绿色发展方面的作用。方法 文章使用2008—2020湖南省县域面板数据，运用交叠DID、PSM-DID和合成DID等模型开展实证考察。结果 基准回归结果表明，农业社会化服务试点政策的实施有助于推动农业绿色发展，但政策的动态效应显示政策效果的发挥存在一定的滞后性；机制分析表明，农业社会化服务试点政策除了直接降低农业生产过程中的环境类要素投入外，还可以通过促进农业规模经营和促进农业技术进步两条间接路径推动农业绿色发展；进一步异质性分析表明，相较于经济发展水平低、人力资本水平低的地方，经济发展水平和人力资本水平较高的地区政策效果显著；且在劳动力转移程度较高的地区政策绿色发展效应更强。结论 应加大农业社会化服务政策试点力度，积极培育多种形式的农业服务组织，促进多种形式的适度规模经营，以此推进农业绿色发展。 |
| 关键词: 农业社会化服务试点政策 农业绿色发展 农业规模经营 农业技术进步 交叠DID |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20250205 |
| 分类号:F326.6;F323.6 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目“农产品区域公用品牌赋能乡村振兴的机理、路径与政策研究”（23BGL186）；湖南省社科评审委员会项目“农村老龄化下生态种养技术采纳行为——基于稻鱼共养的理论与实证”（XSP2023GLC108）；湖南省教育厅优秀青年项目“农业生产性服务驱动农业绿色低碳发展的机理、效应与优化路径”（23B0819） |
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| THE IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL SOCIAL SERVICE PILOT POLICIES ON AGRICULTURAL GREEN DEVELOPMENT——A QUASI-NATURAL EXPERIMENT IN HUNAN COUNTY |
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Tang Wang1,2, Huang Kunpeng2, Zhou Faming3
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1.Hunan University of Humanities, Science and Technology, Loudi 417000, Hunan, China;2.Economic College, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, Hunan, China;3.Business School, Hunan First Normal University, Changsha 410205, Hunan, China
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| Abstract: |
| The report of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China clearly stated the need to accelerate the promotion of green agricultural development. In order to reveal the role of the current national policy promoting agricultural socialized service pilot policies in promoting green agricultural development, this article used panel data from counties in Hunan province from 2008 to 2020, and conducted an empirical research using overlapping DID, PSM-DID, and composite DID models. The benchmark regression results indicated that the implementation of pilot policies for agricultural socialized services helped to promote green agricultural development, but the dynamic effects of the policies were significant and there was a certain lag in the effectiveness of the policies. Mechanism analysis showed that the pilot policy of agricultural socialized services not only directly reduced the input of environmental factors in the agricultural production process, but also promoted the green development of agriculture by promoting agricultural scale operation and advancing agricultural technology; Further heterogeneity analysis showed that compared to regions with lower levels of economic development and human capital, regions with higher levels of economic development and human capital had significant policy effects; And in areas with higher levels of labor transfer, the green development effect of policies was stronger. Therefore, we should increase the pilot efforts of agricultural socialized service policies, actively cultivate various forms of agricultural service organizations, promote moderate scale operations in various forms, and so as to promote green development of agriculture. |
| Key words: pilot policies for socialized agricultural services agriculture green development agricultural scale management agricultural technological progress staggered DID |
