| 摘要: |
| 目的 促进农产品供应链体系建设和发展，助力城乡融合、乡村振兴战略实施。方法 文章借助“技术—组织—环境”（TOE）框架，选取经济发展、居民消费、市场供给、基础设施、技术人才和政策支持6个条件变量，应用必要条件分析（NCA）和模糊集定性比较分析（fsQCA）相结合的方法探究影响农产品冷链物流需求因素。结果 （1）6个条件变量在中等程度上构成农产品冷链物流需求的必要条件，基础设施是限制农产品冷链物流需求最大的瓶颈因素；（2）同时存在3种条件组态：技术人才完备—政策支持发展型、居民消费强劲—市场供给充足—基础设施保障型以及覆盖面最广的多元全面发展型；（3）技术人才、政策支持是关键因素，其次是居民消费、市场供给和基础设施，而经济发展的影响有限。结论 可以从政策助力、发展技术培育人才、加强基础设施建设方面着手构建农产品冷链物流体系。 |
| 关键词: 农产品冷链物流 需求因素 TOE框架 必要条件分析（NCA） 模糊集定性比较分析（fsQCA） |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20250818 |
| 分类号:F326.6 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目“新发展格局下城乡生鲜冷链物流高质量发展机制与路径研究”（21BGL127）；中央高校基本科研业务费人文社科专项“考虑消费者满意度及碳排放的冷链物流路径优化研究”（2021CDJSKCG29）；中央高校基本科研业务费人文社科专项“‘一带一路’背景下内陆城市物流业绿色发展研究”（2020CDJSK03XK13） |
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| CONFIGURATION ANALYSIS OF FACTORS INFLUENCING DEMAND FOR AGRICULTURAL COLD CHAIN LOGISTICS——A TOE FRAMEWORK PERSPECTIVE |
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Tao Fengming1, Zhu Rui1, Yuan Beifei1, Fan Xuemei2, Zhang Yingdan2
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1.School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400045, China;2.School of Business and Management, Jilin University, Changchun130012, Jilin, China
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| Abstract: |
| The objective of this study is to promote the construction and development of the agricultural product supply chain system and support the implementation of urban-rural integration and rural revitalization strategies. Using the “Technology-Organization-Environment” (TOE) framework, six conditional variables were selected: economic development, consumer demand, market supply, infrastructure, technological resources and human talent, and policy support. A combination of Necessary Condition Analysis (NCA) and Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA) was applied to explore the factors influencing the demand for agricultural cold chain logistics. The results were listed as follows. The six conditional variables were moderately necessary for the demand for agricultural cold chain logistics, with infrastructure being the biggest bottleneck restricting this demand. Simultaneously, there were three conditional configurations: complete technological resources and human talents- policy supportive development model, strong consumer demand- sufficient market supply- infrastructure supported model, and a broad multi-faceted and comprehensive development model. Technological resources and human talent, along with policy support were critical factors, followed by consumer demand, market supply, and infrastructure, while the impact of economic development was limited. Therefore,to construct an agricultural cold chain logistics system, emphasis should be placed on policy support, technological development, talent cultivation, and strengthening infrastructure construction. |
| Key words: agriculturalcold chain logistics demand factors TOE framework necessary condition analysis(NCA) fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis(fsQCA) |
