| 摘要: |
| ［目的］目前我国以城市群的模式已发展形成多个区域增长极，城市群是推进城镇化的重要载体，进一步明确城市群综合承载力及空间演化的特点具有现实意义。［方法］利用熵权TOPSIS法和创新性地改进引力模型，构建了包括社会、生态、经济的城市群综合承载力评价体系，基于四川省4个城市群的面板数据，测算城市群综合承载力水平、驱动因子以及创新性地引入三大引力探讨城市群空间引力演化。［结果］综合承载力总体趋向改善，但四川省4个城市群发育尚未成熟；产业结构、人口城镇化和城市基础设施建设是城市群承载能力的主要驱动力；城市群内部空间格局不够合理，核心城市扩散效应不显著。［结论］四川省应该针对目前城市群发展存在的问题及不足，从优化城市群结构、省会城市成都集聚发展、次级核心城市多点支撑、政府的扶持指导方面着手实现健康城市化。 |
| 关键词: 城市群综合承载力驱动因子空间演化熵权TOPSIS法 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F290 |
| 基金项目:教育部“人文社科青年项目”（15YJC630081）、四川省社科研究“十二五”规划项目（SC14C027）、四川省系统科学与企业发展研究中心重点项目（Xq14B08）、“资源约束与农业可持续发展”四川省研究生改革创新团队、“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”：资源环境约束下循环型农业实践中的问题与对策研究（NCET 13 0921）；教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“成渝城市群经济协同发展与空间辐射效应研究”（17YJC630136） |
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| COMPREHENSIVE CARRYING CAPACITY OF URBAN AGGLOMERATION，DRIVING FACTORS AND SPATIAL EVOLUTION IN SICHUAN PROVINCE |
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Quan Quan1, Zhu Jialing1, Liu Yunqiang1, Wang Fang1, Peng Lan2
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1.College of Management, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu,Sichuan 611130,China;2.School of Logistics, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu,Sichuan 610103,China
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| Abstract: |
| Taking case of 4 urban agglomerations in Sichuan, an evaluation system was constructed in 3 dimensions: sociology, ecology and economics. The comprehensive carrying capacity level and driving forces were evaluated by entropy weight TOPSIS, and revised gravity model was used to analyze the interaction forces. The results showed that the majority of the cities′ comprehensive capacity increased and it still had a lot of room for improvement; industrial structure, population urbanization, urban infrastructure construction became the key drivers of the urban agglomerations development; the spatial pattern was not rational, diffusion effects of core cities were not marked; Some measures should be taken to achieve healthy urbanization of Sichuan, such as optimizing the structure of urban agglomeration, congregating development of the provincial capital city Chengdu, multi point supporting of the secondary core cities and guiding of government. |
| Key words: Urban agglomeration comprehensive carrying capacity driving forces spatial evolution entropy weight TOPSIS |
