农民加入合作组织影响因素研究

RESEARCH ON FARMERS′COOPERATIVE ECONOMIC ORGANATIONS BASED ON GAME THEORY STUDY

关键词:  农民合作组织 影响因素 利益分配 农民行为

Key words:  cooperative economic organizations of farmers  incomplete information dynamic  benefit allocation  farmer behavior

摘要:

［目的］从农户行为视角提炼农民加入合作组织影响因素，并试图找到影响农民加入合作组织的主要因素，揭露农民合作组织发展的规律。［方法］文章分析影响农民加入合作组织的主要因素有农民的受教育程度、可得模仿机会及地区的经济发展水平，并根据上述3个主要因素选取一系列变量，在对变量进行相关系数分析后，建立模型分析农户行为的正负影响。［结果］（1）农民的受教育水平对农民加入合作组织是正的影响，即农民的受教育水平越高，其越愿意加入合作组织； （2）农民可得模仿机会越多，农民参加合作组织的比例越高，即通讯设备越普及、交通越发达、合作组织数越多、合作组织中成员数越多的地区，农民在合作组织中模仿学习的机会越多，农民加入合作组织的比例越高； （3）在经济发展水平越高的地区农民加入合作组织的比例越低，在经济发展水平较高的地区市场体系较为完善、农产品的销售渠道越多、农产品不存在滞销问题，农民加入合作组织的效益不高，因此农民不愿意加入合作组织。［结论］农民受教育水平和可得模仿机会对农民加入合作组织是正的影响，而地区的经济发展水平对农民加入合作组织是负的影响。

Abstract:

Since the beginning of the 1980s, China′s rural cooperative economic organizations have developed rapidly.However, the degree of organization of agricultural production is low. How to improve the level of agricultural organization is the focus forthe government. This paper analyzedthe main factors affecting farmers′ joining in cooperative organizations based on Game Theory. And on the basis of this, this paper establisheda model to analyze farmers′ behavior. The results showed that the level of education of farmers and thetraining opportunity had positive effects on farmers′ joining in cooperative economic organizations.The level of regionaleconomic development had a negative impact on farmers′ joining in cooperative economic organization.According to the results from the model and the characteristics of China′s current status of farmer cooperative economy organization development, this paper put forward three suggestions, such as increasing the level of education of farmers, increasing publicity of rural cooperative economic organizations, and advocating science and technology to the countryside.