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引用本文:顾康康,朱鹏祥,陈晓华,汪勇政,储金龙.安徽省若干村落农村人口流动时空路径及定居意愿分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2018,39(11):148~154
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安徽省若干村落农村人口流动时空路径及定居意愿分析
顾康康,朱鹏祥,陈晓华,汪勇政,储金龙
1.安徽建筑大学建筑与规划学院,合肥230022;2.安徽省城镇化发展研究中心,合肥230022
摘要:
[目的]规模巨大的农村人口流动是中国城镇化最重要的现象之一,而其定居地点的选择是新型城镇化的基础。[方法]文章以安徽省3个典型区域为研究对象,基于6个不同类型的村庄和540户农户的调研数据,运用Arcgis三维可视化和SPSS回归分析研究了安徽省农村人口流动的时空路径及定居意愿。[结果](1)安徽省农村人口的流动模式已形成较显著的差异性,皖北地区的农村人口流动属于逐步稳定型,空间选择集中于周边大城市,但分散性显著; (2)皖中地区的农村人口流动属于稳定型,空间选择形成合肥市和长三角2个中心聚集区; (3)皖南地区的农村人口流动属于逐步开拓型,空间选择以省外为主,集中于上海市、浙江等区域,近年人口回流趋势明显。[结论]安徽省农村人口定居意愿选择依次是村庄、县城(城市)、省会城市、乡镇和省外城市,影响农村人口定居意愿的因素为年龄、子女上学地点、村庄产业类型、村庄设施配套、村庄景观风貌。建议加强县城(城市)、乡镇的城镇化建设,承载农村人口的就业、教育、医疗等需求,县城(城市)、乡镇将成为中国新型城镇化的重要组成部分。
关键词:  农村人口人口流动定居意愿城镇化安徽省
DOI:
分类号:C922
基金项目:安徽省高等学校自然科学研究项目(KJ2018A0504、KJ2018ZD047)
THE RESEARCH ON SPACE TIME PATH OF RURAL POPULATION MIGRATION AND SETTLEMENT INTENTION OF SOME VILLAGES IN ANHUI PROVINCE
Gu Kangkang1,2, Zhu Pengxiang3, Chen Xiaohua1,2, Wang Yongzheng1,2, Chu Jinlong1,2
1.School of Architecture & Planning, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei, Anhui 230022, China;2. Research Center of Urbanization Development in Anhui Province, Hefei, Anhui 230022, China;3.School of Architecture & Planning, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei, Anhui 230022, China
Abstract:
Rural population migration in large scale is one of the most important urbanization phenomena in China, and the choice of settlement is the base of new urbanization. The study chose 3 classic regions as research objects, based on the investigation of 540 villagers in 6 kinds of villages of Anhui province, the space time path of rural population migration and settlement intention were analyzed by 3D visualization in Arcgis and regression analysis in SPSS. The results showed that there was significant difference among rural population migration in 3 classic regions of Anhui province. The rural population migration was gradually stable type in North Anhui , they tended to work in big cities around their villages, but the dispersion was clear; the rural population migration in Middle Anhui was stable type, they tended to work in Hefei city and Yangtze River delta region; the rural population migration in South Anhui was gradually developed type, they tended to work in cities outside Anhui Province, such as Shanghai city and Zhejiang province, and more villagers would like to come back in recent years. The settlement intention of rural population in Anhui province was village, county (city), capital city, town and city outsider province successively. The influence factors of settlement intention were age, kids′ education place, industry type of village, facilities of village and landscape of village. It suggested that the urbanization construction of county (city) and town should be strengthened, the demand of job, education and medical treatment should be satisfied. County (city) and town will be the important parts of new urbanization in China.
Key words:  rural population  population migration  settlement intention  urbanization  Anhui province
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