云南省农业资源与经济增长协调性分析

ANALYSIS OF COORDINATION BETWEEN AGRICULTURAL RESOURCES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN YUNNAN PROVINCE

关键词:  农业资源经济增长耦合模型协调度云南省

Key words:  agricultural resource  economic growth  coupling model  coordination degree  Yunnan province

摘要:

［目的］云南省是我国资源丰富的农业大省，探究其农业资源与经济增长的协调性有利于把握农业发展的方向，对实现经济的可持续发展具有重要意义。［方法］文章利用熵权法确定指标权重，并构建耦合模型计算得到农业资源与经济增长的耦合协调度，根据协调度水平划分等级，最终确定云南省协调发展水平。［结果］（1）2007—2016年经济发展水平呈阶梯式上升的趋势； 土地资源和水资源综合评价值呈波浪式曲线； 2007—2011年资源污染治理水平综合评价值急剧下降，2011—2016年呈缓慢上升的趋势。（2）2007—2016年经历了从轻度失调到初级协调的阶段。（3）2007—2009年农业资源与经济增长处于低度协调耦合， 2010—2012年两者处于中度协调耦合， 2013后过渡到高度协调耦合。［结论］2007—2016年云南省农业资源与经济增长的耦合协调度向良好态势转变，目前处于高度协调耦合。虽然耦合协调度较好，但耦合度较低，因此，应该积极转变生产方式，调整产业结构，坚持发展生态经济，促进经济与资源的协调发展。

Abstract:

Yunnan province is a large agricultural province with abundant resources in China. This research aims to grasp the direction of agricultural development and realize the sustainable development of economy, which is a great significance to explore the coordination between agricultural resources and economic development. In this paper, the index weight was determined by entropy weight method, and the coupling coordination degree between agricultural resources and economic growth was calculated by constructing a coupling model. According to the level of coordination degree, the coordinated development level of Yunnan province was finally determined. Through the calculation of the coupling degree between agricultural resources and economic growth, the results showed that the level of economic development from 2007 to 2016 showed a stepwise upward trend, and the comprehensive evaluation value of land resources and water resources showed a wave curve. The comprehensive evaluation value of resource pollution control level decreased sharply from 2007 to 2011, and then increased slowly. The analysis of the coupling degree between agricultural resources and economic growth in Yunnan province showed that the period from 2007 to 2016 had gone through a period from mild maladjustment to primary coordination. The results of coupling coordination analysis showed that agricultural resources and economic growth were in a low degree of coordinated coupling from 2007 to 2009. From 2010 to 2012, the two were moderately coupled, and after 2013 the transition to a highly coordinated coupling. The degree of coupling and coordination between agricultural resources and economic growth in Yunnan province changed to a good situation from 2007 to 2016 and was in a high degree of coordination and coupling at present. Although the degree of coupling and coordination is good, the degree of coupling is low. Therefore, we should actively change the mode of production, adjust the industrial structure, persist in the development of ecological economy, and promote the coordinated development of economy and resources.