江苏乡村旅游产业空间相关性及影响因素研究

SPATIAL CORRELATION AND INFLUENCING FACTORS OF RURAL TOURISM INDUSTEY IN JIANGSU

关键词:  乡村旅游空间自相关GISMoran′s I影响因素江苏省

Key words:  village tourism  spatial autocorrelation  GIS  Moran′s I  influencing factor  Jiangsu province

摘要:

［目的］区域经济空间外溢现象比较普遍，且乡村旅游产业日益壮大，在经济的空间依赖性变得逐渐加强的这一背景下，乡村旅游产业在区域间是否也存在一定的空间相关性，是一个值得研究的问题。［方法］文章以2016年江苏省数据为依据，综合运用GIS102和GEODA空间分析软件，采用Moran′s I指数研究江苏省13个地级市乡村旅游的空间相关性； 采用空间统计学计量方法对江苏省乡村旅游影响因素进行定量分析。［结果］（1）江苏省乡村旅游存在明显的空间相关性，区域乡村旅游发展受临近地区溢出效应影响明显； （2）江苏省乡村旅游发展影响最大的因素为城乡差距，其次为交通状况和市场需求，影响最不显著的为农业及旅游发展状况； 城乡差距、交通状况、市场需求和旅游发展对江苏省乡村旅游发展表现出正向促进作用，而农业基础对江苏省乡村旅游发展具有一定负向作用； 且城乡差距、交通状况正向推动作用非常明显。［结论］江苏省发展乡村旅游要注重地理因素在其间发挥的效应，依靠极化效应，发挥对临近区域的带动作用。且发展乡村旅游要着重从交通状况改善、发挥居民发展乡村旅游积极性、促进当地旅游发展等方面入手。

Abstract:

The regional economic space spillover phenomenon is relatively common, and the rural tourism industry is growing stronger. Under the background that the spatial dependence of the economy has gradually strengthened, it is a very worthy problem to study whether the rural tourism industry also has certain spatial correlation among regions. Based on the data of Jiangsu province in 2016, this paper comprehensively applied ArcGIS 10.2 and GEODA spatial analysis software, and used Moran′s I index to study the spatial correlation of rural tourism in 13 prefecture level cities in Jiangsu province, then quantitatively analyzed the influencing factors of rural tourism in Jiangsu province by using the method of spatial statistics. The results were showed as follows. There was a significant spatial correlation between rural tourism in Jiangsu province. The development of regional rural tourism was obviously affected by the spillover effect in neighboring areas. The most influencing factor in the development of rural tourism in Jiangsu province was the urban rural gap, followed by traffic conditions and market demand, the most insignificant impact was the development of agriculture and tourism; urban rural gap, traffic conditions, market demand. And tourism development had positively promoted the development of rural tourism in Jiangsu province, while the agricultural foundation had a negative effect on the development of rural tourism in Jiangsu province. And the positive effect of urban rural gaps and traffic conditions was very obvious. The development of rural tourism in Jiangsu province should pay attention to the effects of geographical factors in the process, and rely on the polarization effect to play a role in the vicinity. And the development of rural tourism should focus on the improvement of traffic conditions, the development of rural tourism enthusiasm, and the promotion of local tourism development.