生产者补贴政策、区域定位差异及大豆种植户行为响应——来自吉林省、山东省6市12县的证据

POLICY PRODUCER SUBSIDY,RESPONSE REGIONAL ORIENTATION DIFFERENCE AND SOYBEAN FARMER BEHAVIOR*——EVIDENCE FROM 6 CITIES INCLUDED 12 COUNTIES IN JILIN PROVINCE AND SHANDONG PROVINCE

关键词:  大豆生产者补贴政策  区域定位差异  种植行为响应  PSM模型  混合回归

Key words:  soybean producer subsidy policy  regional positioning difference  response of planting behavior  PSM model  mixed regression

摘要:

目的 中国大豆政策几经更迭，截止大豆生产者补贴政策制定实施之前的支持政策均未达成理想的政策目标，而大豆生产者补贴政策已初见成效。为深入探究大豆生产者补贴政策在试点地区与非试点地区、同一地区内区域定位差异对农户大豆种植行为响应的异质性，由此实现对后续大豆生产者补贴政策的完善提供实践参考。方法 农户是政策施行的微观行为主体。文章基于吉林省和山东省农户调研数据，利用倾向得分匹配模型和混合回归模型进行实证分析，借助更换变量法对模型结果进行稳健性检验。结果 大豆生产者补贴政策的实施促进了农户种植行为响应，政策试点地区农户相较于非政策试点地区农户大豆种植行为响应更为积极，且政策试点地区内因资源禀赋差异，不同区域间农户的大豆种植行为存在异质性。结论 政策区与非政策区农户、政策区内因资源禀赋形成的区域差异下的农户对大豆生产者补贴政策行为响应存在异质性。未来政府针对大豆相关政策的修订应着重于政策的精准化实施、调整大豆与同等替代作物比价关系、总结经验并适时推广。

Abstract:

Soybean policy has changed several times in China, and the support policies before the formulation and implementation of the soybean producer subsidy policy have not achieved the desired policy goals, and the soybean producer subsidy policy has achieved initial results. This research aims to deeply explore the heterogeneity of soybean producers' subsidy policy in pilot areas and non-pilot areas, and the regional positioning differences within the same area, the response to farmers' soybean planting behaviors, so as to provide practical references for the improvement of subsequent soybean producer subsidy policies. Farmers are the micro-actors of policy implementation. Based on the survey data of farmers in Jilin province and Shandong province, this paper used the propensity score matching model and the mixed regression model for empirical analysis, and at the same time it used the method of replacing variables to test the robustness of the model results. The implementation of the soybean producer subsidy policy promotes the response of farmers to planting behaviour, the policy pilot area farmers compared to non-policy pilot area farmers soybean planting behaviour response is more positive, and the policy pilot area due to differences in resource endowment, the heterogeneity of soybean planting behaviour of farmers between different regions. In the future, the government's revision of soybean-related policies should focus on the precise implementation of policies, adjusting the price relationship between soybeans and equivalent alternative crops and summarizing experience and promoting them in a timely manner.