陕西省新型城镇化与乡村振兴耦合协调发展研究

RESEARCH ON THE COUPLED AND COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT OF NEW URBANIZATION AND RURAL REVITALIZATION IN SHAANXI PROVINCE

关键词:  新型城镇化  乡村振兴  耦合模型  协调发展  空间自相关

Key words:  new urbanization  rural revitalization  coupled model  coordinated development, spatial autocorrelation

摘要:

目的 定量评估陕西省乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展的时空特征及影响因素分析，以期为该省推进新型城镇化与乡村振兴协调发展提供参考。方法 文章选择2012—2021年陕西省的相关指标数据，采用熵权法、综合指数法、耦合协调度模型、空间相关性模型进行分析，并结合ArcGIS软件和GeoDa软件对两者空间差异和耦合发展时序变化进行分析。结果 （1）2012—2021年陕西省乡村振兴与新型城镇化发展水平均呈逐年递增趋势，其中乡村振兴发展水平的空间差异逐步缩小，趋向均衡发展，新型城镇化空间差异变化不大；（2）各区域内两系统耦合协调度整体呈现上升趋势，城乡发展不均衡性得到改善，在空间上表现为北高南低的分布态势；（3）随着各地区水平提升的不同，耦合协调水平的区域差距加大，个别城市存在明显的单系统发展滞后问题，陕南地区受区域高水平城市带动效应不强。结论 陕西省乡村振兴与新型城镇化正处于高质量融合发展的重要阶段，两者发展趋势呈正相关，未来需加强区域间合作，突破区位限制，推动陕西省向多元化驱动的城乡协调发展，促进乡村振兴与新型城镇化的有效结合与高质量发展。

Abstract:

This research aims to quantitatively evaluate the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of the coordinated development of rural revitalization and new urbanization in Shaanxi province, so as to provide references for promoting the coordinated development of new urbanization and rural revitalization in the province. Relevant indicator data from 2012 to 2021 in Shaanxi province were selected, and the entropy weight method, comprehensive index method, coupled coordination model and spatial correlation model was used for analysis. Then ArcGIS and GeoDa software was adopted to analyze the spatial differences and coupled development temporal changes between the coordinated development of rural revitalization and new urbanization in Shaanxi province. The results were listed as follows. (1) From 2012 to 2021, the level of rural revitalization and new urbanization development in Shaanxi province showed an increasing trend year by year, with the spatial differences in rural revitalization development gradually narrowing and tending towards balanced development, while the spatial differences in new urbanization did not change significantly; (2) The degree of coupling and coordination of the two systems in each region was on the rise as a whole, and the imbalance of urban and rural development was improved, which showed a spatial distribution trend of high in the north and low in the south. (3) With the different level of improvement in each region, the regional gap in the level of coupling and coordination was increasing, and some cities had obvious problems of single system development lag, and southern Shaanxi was not strongly driven by regional high-level cities. Therefore, rural revitalization and new urbanization in Shaanxi province are in an important stage of high-quality integrated development, and the development trend of the two is positively correlated. In the future, it is necessary to strengthen regional cooperation, break through location restrictions, promote the coordinated development of urban and rural areas driven by diversification in Shaanxi province, and promote the effective combination and high-quality development of rural revitalization and new urbanization.