中国式农业现代化发展水平测度及区域差异分析——以吉林省为例

MEASUREMENT AND REGIONAL DIFFERENCE ANALYSIS OF THE DEVELOPMENT LEVEL OF CHINESE STYLE AGRICULTURAL MODERNIZATION——A CASE STUDY OF JILIN PROVINCE

关键词:  中国式农业现代化  时空格局  区域差异  障碍度  吉林省

Key words:  Chinese style agricultural modernization  spatial-temporal pattern  regional difference  obstacle degree  Jilin province

摘要:

目的 中国式农业现代化发展立足我国国情农情，因地制宜。吉林省作为规划率先基本实现农业现代化的排头兵，有必要对吉林省中国式农业现代化发展水平进行科学测度，并分析吉林省县域中国式农业现代化发展水平及区域差异。方法 文章基于对吉林省中国式农业现代化发展的逻辑机理分析，构建县域层面农业供给保障现代化、农业科技创新现代化、农业产业体系现代化、农业绿色发展现代化等4个维度的中国式农业现代化发展水平评价体系；结合省内水土资源分异特点，运用泰尔指数和障碍度模型探究其区域差异及演进趋势。结果 （1）2011—2020年吉林省中国式农业现代化发展水平整体经历“稳定（2011—2014年）—下降（2015—2017年）—提高（2018—2020年）”演进过程。（2）吉林省中国式农业现代化发展水平区域间差距显著，总体表现为由东向西梯度递增态势。（3）泰尔指数整体呈波动上升趋势，2011—2015年区域内差异是吉林省中国式农业现代化发展水平总体差异的主要来源，2016—2020年区域间差异的贡献度最大。（4）影响吉林省中国式农业现代化发展的障碍因子主要来自农业供给保障现代化和农业产业体系现代化两个方面。结论 吉林省各地应因地制宜发展优势产业、全面布局弥合区域差异、统筹发展突破主要障碍。

Abstract:

Chinese style agricultural modernization development is based on China's national and agricultural conditions, and adjusts measures to local conditions. As the leading province in planning to basically achieve agricultural modernization, it is necessary to scientifically measure the development level of Chinese style agricultural modernization in Jilin province and analyze the development level and regional differences of Chinese-style agricultural modernization in counties of Jilin province. Based on the analysis of the logical mechanism of the development of Chinese style agricultural modernization in Jilin province, this research constructed an evaluation system of the development level of Chinese style agricultural modernization in four dimensions at the county level, namely, the modernization of agricultural supply guarantee, the modernization of agricultural science and technology innovation, the modernization of agricultural industrial system, and the modernization of agricultural green development . Combining with the characteristics of water and soil resources differentiation in the province, the Theil index and obstacle degree model were used to explore the regional differences and evolution trend. The results showed that: (1) The overall development level of Chinese style agricultural modernization in Jilin province experienced an evolution process of "stable (2011—2014) declining (2015—2017) rising (2018—2020)" during 2011—2020. (2) There was a significant regional gap in the development level of Chinese style agricultural modernization in Jilin province, showing a gradient increasing trend from east to west. (3) The Theil index showed an overall fluctuating upward trend. The intra-regional differences were the main source of the overall differences in the development level of Chinese style agricultural modernization in Jilin province during 2011—2015, and the inter-regional differences contributed the most during 2016—2020. (4) The obstacle factors affecting the development of Chinese style agricultural modernization in Jilin province mainly came from the modernization of agricultural supply guarantee and the modernization of agricultural industrial system. Accordingly, Jilin province should develop advantageous industries according to local conditions, bridge regional differences in overall layout, and break through major obstacles in overall development.