中国粮食产业链风险研究综述与展望

REVIEW AND PROSPECT OF RESEARCH ON RISK IN CHINA’S GRAIN INDUSTRY CHAIN

关键词:  粮食产业链  产业链风险  粮食安全  供应链  CiteSpace

Key words:  grain industry chain  industrial chain risk  food security  supply chain  CiteSpace

摘要:

目的 提高防范和抵御粮食安全风险能力的意义重大。通过对粮食产业链风险已有研究的梳理，从文献特征、热点等方面进行分析，进而展望未来的研究趋势，为推动粮食产业链风险研究提供参考。方法 文章运用CiteSpace软件，选取Web of Science 数据库中的 733篇相关文献与CNKI中国学术期刊网络出版总库、万方数据与维普中文科技期刊全文数据库中有关中国粮食产业链风险主题的335篇文献作为研究对象，绘制出研究机构、作者、期刊以及高频关键词知识结构图谱。结果 （1）在时间序列上，中国粮食产业链风险研究的发文量呈现波动性增长趋势。（2）英文文献中载文最多的期刊是《Food Control》，主要发文机构是中国科学院，国际作者间与机构间的学术交流较为紧密。中文文献载文量最多的期刊是《经济纵横》，中国人民大学、西南财经大学及吉林大学是主要发文机构，机构间与作者间的学术联系较弱，尚未形成高产的作者群。（3）研究热点从单一农作物或企业为研究起点，再到全产业链与风险管理，粮食安全、供应链、风险分担等热点则成为最新趋势。（4）研究主要议题有粮食产业链风险、粮食产业链风险的治理机制、粮食产业链风险防范的政策保障等。结论 相关研究数量随着国内外形势与政策的变化呈增长趋势，但研究成果与学术关注度仍有较大提升空间；研究合作网络不够紧密；未来应强化对中国粮食产业链风险的基础研究、中国粮食产业链风险的政农企合作机制研究和粮食产业链风险管理政策保障体系构建。

Abstract:

It is of great significance to improve the ability to prevent and resist food security risks. Through combing the existing research on the risk of grain industry chain, this paper analyzes the literature characteristics and hotspots, and then looks forward to the future research trend, so as to provide references for promoting the research on the risk of grain industry chain. Using CiteSpace software, 733 related literatures in Web of Science database, 335 literatures on the risk of China's grain industry chain in CNKI China Academic Journal Network Publishing Database, Wanfang Data and VIP Chinese Science and Technology Journal Full-text Database were selected as the research objects, and the knowledge structure maps of research institutions, authors, journals and high-frequency keywords were drawn. The findings indicated that: (1) In terms of time series, the number of papers published in the risk research of China's grain industry chain showed a fluctuating growth trend. In terms of time series, the research on the risk of China's grain industry chain was divided into the initial stage, the gradual development stage and the fluctuating growth stage. (2) The journal with the most articles in English literature was Food Control, and the main publishing institution was the Chinese Academy of Sciences. The journal with the largest number of articles in Chinese literature was Economic Perspective, and Chinese Renmin University, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics and Jilin University were the main publishing institutions, and the academic connection between institutions and authors was weak, and a prolific author group had not yet been formed.(3) Research hotspots from a single crop or enterprise as the research starting point, to the whole industry chain and risk management, food security, supply chain, risk sharing and other hotspots had become the latest trend. (4) The main topics of the study were the risk of the grain industry chain, the governance mechanism of the risk of the grain industry chain, and the policy guarantee of the risk prevention of the grain industry chain. In conclusion, the number of related research shows an increasing trend with the changes of domestic and foreign situations and policies, but there was still much room for improvement in research results and academic attention. The research cooperation network is not close enough; in the future, we should strengthen the basic research on the risk of China's grain industry chain, the research on the cooperation mechanism of government, agriculture and enterprises in the risk of China's grain industry chain, and the construction of policy guarantee system for the risk management of grain industry chain.