中国省域城乡融合与乡村旅游耦合协调关系时空格局及驱动机制研究

RESEARCH ON THE SPATIAL-TEMPORAL PATTERN AND DRIVING MECHANISM OF THE COUPLING AND COORDINATION RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN URBAN-RURAL INTEGRATION AND RURAL TOURISM IN CHINA'S PROVINCES

关键词:  城乡融合  乡村旅游  耦合协调度  地理探测器  驱动机制

Key words:  urban-rural integration  rural tourism  coupling and coordination  geographic detector  driving mechanism

摘要:

目的 探究城乡融合与乡村旅游的耦合协调关系有助于促进乡村旅游高质量发展、推进农业农村现代化，对地区发展决策的提出和实现城乡融合具有重大意义。方法 文章以2011—2021年我国各省域城乡融合与乡村旅游面板数据为基础，通过构建两者的耦合协调综合评价指标体系，利用耦合协调度模型和地理探测器等方法，定量探究了我国各省域城乡融合与乡村旅游的综合发展指数与耦合协调度的时空格局及其驱动机制。结果 （1）研究期城乡融合指数在小范围内波动，乡村旅游指数波动范围广，增长速度快；两系统耦合协调度呈现逐年增长趋势，整体由基本协调转化为优质协调，在空间上呈现“东高西低，南高北低”的发展态势，且各省份两系统耦合协调关系在2015年后变化最为显著；（2）两系统耦合协调度存在空间自相关，且空间聚集程度逐年增强，研究期高—高聚集省域个数明显增加，主要集中于东南沿海地区、黑龙江和青海等地；（3）双因子之间的交互作用均大于单因子的独立作用，且呈双因子线性增强或非线性增强，数字经济发展指数、农村家庭人均耕地面积、研究与试验发展经费支出和5A级旅游景区数量为影响我国省域城乡融合与乡村旅游耦合协调发展的主要驱动因子。结论 当前全国各省域城乡融合与乡村旅游处于良好协调状态，但是各地区应采取因地制宜的政策措施，推进城乡融合与乡村旅游耦合协调优质发展。

Abstract:

Exploring the coupling and coordination relationship between urban-rural integration and rural tourism can promote high-quality development of rural tourism, promote modernization of agriculture and rural areas, and is significant for proposing regional development decisions and achieving urban-rural integration. Based on the panel data of urban-rural integration and rural tourism in various provinces of China from 2011 to 2021, this paper constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system of their coupling coordination and used the coupling coordination degree model and geographical detectors to quantitatively explore the spatio-temporal pattern and driving mechanism of the extensive development index and coupling coordination degree of urban-rural integration and rural tourism in various provinces of China from 2011 to 2021.The results showed that: (1) During the research period, the urban-rural integration index fluctuated within a small range, while the rural tourism index fluctuated widely and proliferated; The degree of coupling and coordination between the two systems had shown an increasing trend year by year, with the overall transformation from basic coordination to high-quality coordination. In terms of space, there was a development trend of "high in the east and low in the west, high in the south and low in the north", and the coupling and coordination relationship between the two systems in various provinces had changed most significantly since 2015; (2) There was spatial autocorrelation in the coupling coordination degree of the two systems, and the degree of spatial aggregation had been increasing year by year. During the research period, the number of provinces with high to high aggregation had significantly increased, mainly concentrated in the southeastern coastal areas, Heilongjiang and Qinghai; (3) The interaction between the two factors was greater than the independent effect of a single factor and showed a linear or nonlinear enhancement of the two factors. The digital economy development index, per capita arable land area of rural households, research, and experimental development (R&D) expenditure, and the number of 5A level tourist attractions were the main driving factors affecting the coordinated development of urban-rural integration and rural tourism coupling in China's province. In summary, currently, urban-rural integration and rural tourism in various provinces and regions across the country are in a good coordination state, but each region should adopt policies and measures tailored to local conditions to promote the coordinated and high-quality development of urban-rural integration and rural tourism.