| 摘要: |
| 目的 农业数字化转型是加快推进农业新质生产力形成的重要抓手，也是推动农业现代化发展的关键举措。方法 文章选取2013—2022年中国30个省（市、区，不含港澳台和西藏）层面宏观统计数据，通过构建农业数字化转型和农业新质生产力的评价指标体系，实证检验了农业数字化转型对其新质生产力的影响及空间溢出效应。结果 （1）农业数字化转型有利于农业新质生产力的形成并推动农业现代化发展。（2）这一影响效应存在单门槛效应，即当农业数字化转型得分超过门槛值0.231时，其对农业新质生产力的促进作用会下降，表现出较强的边际效应递减规模。（3）空间杜宾模型检验结果进一步表明，农业数字化转型对其新质生产力的影响存在显著正向空间溢出效应，相邻地区农业数字化转型与农业新质生产力之间表现出正相关关系。结论 在数字时代，相邻地区间应制定差异化农业数字化转型策略，加强地区间农业科技合作链接机制，以促进农业新质生产力整体水平稳步提升。 |
| 关键词: 农业数字化转型 新质生产力 乡村振兴 溢出效应 门槛效应 |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20251114 |
| 分类号:F323.3 |
| 基金项目:中国农业科学院基本科研业务费专项院级统筹项目（Y2024ZK02）；中国农业科学院科技创新工程（10-IAED-08-2024、10-IAED-RC-04-2024）；教育部产学合作协同育人项目“基于创新协同培养模式下的工商管理专业人才培养”（231104213285004）；浙江省高等教育学会一般课题“新质人才培养视角下浙江省高等教育教学数字化改革策略研究”（KT2024355） |
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| THE IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION ON ITS NEW QUALITY PRODUCTIVITY AND SPATIAL SPILLOVER EFFECTS |
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Yan Yan1,2,3, Xiang Hua4, Wang Xiudong1,2,3, Cai Xinyu5
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1.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China;2.Strategic Research Center of Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100081, China;3.Chinese Academy of Agricultural Development Strategies, Beijing 100081, China;4.School of Economics, Shandong Institute of Technology and Business, Yantai 264600, Shandong, China;5.College of Business, Jiaxing University, Jiaxing 314001, Zhejiang, China
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| Abstract: |
| Agricultural digital transformation serves as a crucial lever to accelerate the formation of new agricultural productivity and a key initiative to promote the development of agricultural modernization. An evaluation index systems for agricultural digital transformation and new agricultural productivity, with macro-level statistical data from 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022 was constructed to empirically examine the impact of agricultural digital transformation on new agricultural productivity and its spatial spillover effects. The results were showed as follows. Agricultural digital transformation facilitated the formation of new agricultural productivity and drove agricultural modernization; this impact exhibited a single threshold effect, meaning that when the score of agricultural digital transformation exceeded the threshold value of 0.231, its promoting effect on new agricultural productivity diminished, demonstrating strong diminishing marginal returns. Further tests using the spatial Durbin model revealed a significant positive spatial spillover effect, indicating a positive correlation between agricultural digital transformation in adjacent regions and new agricultural productivity. Therefore, in the digital era, adjacent regions should formulate differentiated strategies for agricultural digital transformation and strengthen mechanisms for inter-regional agricultural technology cooperation linkages to steadily enhance the overall level of new agricultural productivity. |
| Key words: agricultural digital transformation agricultural new quality productivity rural revitalization spillover effect threshold effect |
