| 摘要: |
| 农户的种植行为直接影响种植结构的合理性，农业现代化的推进不再单纯依靠经济量的投入，更需要结合农户的种植行为以实现种植结构的优化。通过随机抽样的方式，对贵州省农户的种植结构调整行为进行了问卷调查，在对农户理论分析的基础上，采用二元logistic模型对影响农户种植结构调整行为的因素进行了实证分析。结果表明，年龄大小、教育年限、其他技能、务农劳力、农业收入、市场价格、标准与否在5%的水平上显著，惠农政策在1%的水平上显著，跟随偏好在10%的水平上显著。结合社会化小农的特征，得出以下结论：（1）年龄大小、务农劳力的多少以及农业收入是否为家庭主要收入对种植结构调整影响显著。（2）文化程度高的农户在种植初期会选择收益较高的农作物。（3）具有其他技能的农户选择进行种植结构调整的概率大。（4）市场价格对农户的种植选择有较大影响。（5）惠农政策对农户种植结构调整的引导作用显著。（6）标准化程度对农户的种植结构有较大的规制作用。（7）农户的种植行为一定程度上受到周围农户的影响。 |
| 关键词: 农户 种植结构调整 行为选择 影响因素 |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20160425 |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目: |
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| STUDY ON THE FACTORS INFLUENCING FARMERS PLANTING STRUCTURE ADJUSTMENT BEHAVIOR——AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS BASED ON GUIZHOU PROVINCE |
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Tian Wenyong1,2, Zhang Huiping3, Huang Chao4, Tang Shuyi4, Wu Xiumin5
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1.College of Economics and Management of Tongren University，Tongren Guizhou 554300，China;2.Sichuan Agricultural University，College of Management，Chengdu Sichuan 611130，China;3.College of Economics and Management of Tongren University，Tongren Guizhou 554300，China;4.Sichuan Agricultural University，College of Management，Chengdu Sichuan 611130，China;5.Sichuan Agricultural University，School of Business，Chengdu Sichuan 611180，China
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| Abstract: |
| The farmers' planting behavior directly affects the rationality of planting structure.The development of agricultural modernization may not only simply rely on economic amount of investment，but also need to combine the behavior of farmers planting in order to realize the optimization of planting structure.This paper made a questionnaire on the adjustment of planting structure behavior of famers in Guizhou province based on random sampling，and analyzed the possible influential factors to farmers' planting structure adjustment behavior based on a theoretical analysis and a binary logistic model.The results showed that the factors such as size，age，years of education，other skills，farm labor，agricultural income，market price，standard or not，were significant at the 5% level，agricultural policy was significant at 1% level，and the following preference was significant at 10% level.Combined with the characteristics of socialization of peasants，it drew the following conclusions：（1）age，labor and the main family income source had significant impacts on the adjustment of planting structure.（2）the farmers with high degree of culture would choose the higher economic crops.（3）the probability of the adjustment of the farmers with other skills was large.（4）the market price had a greater impact on the farmers' choice of planting.（5）the agricultural policy had guiding role in the adjustment of planting structure of farmers.（6）the standard degree of farmers' cultivation structure had a greater regulatory role.（7）the farmers' cultivation behavior was influenced by the around farmers' behavior. |
| Key words: farmer planting structure adjustment behavior selection factors |
