基于改进熵值TOPSIS灰色关联度模型的青海省乡村振兴评价及障碍因子分析

EVALUATION AND OBSTACLE FACTOR ANALYSIS OF RURAL REVITALIZATION IN QINGHAI PROVINCE BASED ON IMPROVED ENTROPY TOPSIS GRAY CORRELAYION MODEL

关键词:  乡村振兴战略  五大振兴  TOPSIS灰色关联度  障碍因子

Key words:  rural revitalization strategy  five revitalization  TOPSIS  grey relational degree  obstacle factor

摘要:

目的 乡村振兴战略是顺应我国发展趋势和应对我国发展难题所提出的重大战略部署，在我国乃至全球“三农”发展进程中都具有划时代的里程碑意义，通过对青海乡村振兴实施成效进行测度，找出加快推进农业农村现代化的制约因素，以期为青海农村全面发展提供决策思路，也为欠发达地区有效实施乡村振兴战略提供借鉴。方法 文章基于乡村“五大振兴”维度，构建了38个具体指标的评价指标体系，对青海省乡村振兴实施成效运用改进熵值TOPSIS灰色关联度模型进行测评，找出青海省乡村振兴与理想状态整体拟合程度；并用障碍度模型对障碍因子进行分析，找到制约农村全面发展的关键因素。结果 （1）青海省乡村振兴灰色关联贴进度为0.425，处于中级阶段；各地区之间乡村振兴发展不平衡，各准则指标的灰色关联贴进度由大到小依次为产业振兴、人才振兴、文化振兴、组织振兴、生态振兴。（2）乡村振兴主要障碍因子有：规模农业经营户比重、农村居民可支配收入、流转草场面积比重、通天然气村比重、有开展旅游接待服务的村比重、农民参加农民合作社和劳动力转移户数比重。结论 青海省乡村振兴发展相对较好，但存在区域间的不平衡性，为了更好地促进乡村全面可持续发展，实现农业农村现代化，就必须从建立现代化农牧业产业集群、改善农牧区就业环境和强化乡村生态保护与修复入手，从根本上完善乡村的全面振兴。

Abstract:

Rural revitalization strategy is the major developing strategic layout to conform to the developing-trend of our country and respond to the developing-problems in China. It is an epoch-making milestone in the development of "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" in China and even in the world. By measuring the implementation effect of rural revitalization in Qinghai province, this paper finds out the restricting factors of accelerating the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, in order to provide decision-making ideas for the overall development of rural areas in Qinghai province and to provide reference for the effective implementation of rural revitalization strategy in under developed areas.We constructed an evaluation index system of 38 specific indicators based on the dimensions of rural-revitalization to evaluate the implementation effect of rural revitalization in Qinghai province by using the improved entropy TOPSIS grey relational degree model, and to find out the overall fitting degree between rural revitalization and ideal state in Qinghai province. The obstacle degree model was used to analyze the obstacle factors and to find out the key factors that restricted the overall development of rural areas.The results were listed as follows. (1)Qinghai province rural revitalization gray-related-close-degree was 0.425, which was in the intermediate stage of rural revitalization. The development of rural revitalization was unbalanced among different regions. The progress of the gray-related-close-degree from the largest to the smallest was industrial revitalization, talent revitalization, cultural revitalization, organizational revitalization, and ecological revitalization.(2)The main obstacles factors of rural revitalization were: the proportion of large-scale agricultural operators, the disposable income of rural residents, the proportion of the grassland turnover acreage, the proportion of of natural gas villages, the proportion of villages with tourism reception services, the proportion of farmers participating in farmer cooperatives and the proportion of labor transfer households. In summary, the development of rural revitalization in Qinghai province is relatively good, but there are regional imbalances. In order to promote the overall sustainable development of the countryside and to realize the modernization of agriculture and rural areas, it is necessary to start with the establishment of modern agricultural and animal husbandry industry clusters, to improve the employment environment in agricultural and pastoral areas, and to strengthen rural ecological protection and restoration, so as to fundamentally consummate the comprehensive revitalization of the countryside.