基于有序Logit-ISM模型的农村集体产权制度改革村民满意度影响因素研究——来自福建省的调查

INFLUENCING FACTORS OF VILLAGERS' SATISFACTION WITH RURAL COLLECTIVE PROPERTY RIGHTS SYSTEM REFORM BASED ON ORDERED LOGIT-ISM MODEL——A CASE STUDY IN FUJIAN

关键词:  农村集体产权制度改革  村民满意度  影响因素  有序Logit回归  ISM模型

Key words:  rural collective property rights system reform  villagers' satisfaction  influencing factors  ordered logit regression  ISM model

摘要:

目的 农村集体产权制度改革是涉及亿万村民利益的重大制度创新，村民满意度是衡量改革绩效的主要标尺。研究农村集体产权制度改革村民满意度的影响因素，对提高村民满意度、提升改革绩效、深化改革发展具有重要意义。方法 文章基于福建省农村固定观察点830份调研问卷数据，应用有序Logit回归模型分析村民对农村集体产权制度改革满意度的影响因素，并利用ISM模型进一步分析各影响因素间的逻辑关系与层级结构。结果 （1）有序Logit模型回归结果显示，受教育程度、社会关系、家庭收入水平、公平感知、政策认知和村民参与对村民满意度产生了显著影响。（2）ISM模型分析发现，公平感知和政策认知是表层直接因素，村民参与是中层间接因素，社会关系、家庭收入水平和受教育程度是深层根源因素。结论 为提升村民对改革的满意度，应加强改革宣导，拓宽参与渠道，建立反馈机制，积极推动村民参与改革、提升村民的公平感知和政策认知水平，同时发展壮大农村集体经济、增加村民财产性收入以增强村民获得感。

Abstract:

The rural collective property rights system reform is a significant institutional innovation involving the interests of hundreds of millions of villagers, and villagers' satisfaction constitutes the main yardstick for measuring the performance of the reform. Studying the factors influencing villagers' satisfaction with the rural collective property rights system reform holds significant importance in enhancing villagers' contentment, improving the reform's effectiveness, and deepening the development of the reform. Based on survey data collected from 830 questionnaires from fixed observation points in rural areas of Fujian province, we employed the ordered logit regression model to analyze the influencing factors of villagers' satisfaction with the rural collective property rights system reform, and utilized the ISM model to further analyze the logical relationships and hierarchical structure among these influencing factors. The regression results of the ordered logit model indicated that educational level, social relationship, household income, fairness perception, policy cognition, and villagers' participation significantly influenced villagers' satisfaction. Besides, the ISM model results showed that policy cognition and fairness perception were the direct deep factors, villagers' participation was the middle indirect factor, and social relationship, education level and household income were the deep-depth factors. Therefore, in order to enhance villagers' satisfaction with the reform, it is necessary to bolster reform advocacy, broaden participation channels, establish feedback mechanisms, actively promote villagers' participation in the reform, improve villagers' policy cognition and fairness perception, and at the same time, continuously develop collective economy and increase villagers' income so as to enhance the villagers' sense of achievement.