数字经济、产业韧性与乡村产业高质量发展

关键词:  数字经济  韧性  乡村产业  高质量发展  门槛效应

Key words:  digital economy  resilience  rural industries  high quality development  threshold characteristic

摘要:

目的 在全面建设社会主义现代化农业强国的背景下，分析如何增强产业韧性，推动乡村产业高质量发展。方法 文章基于新发展阶段的时代要求，使用2013—2019年中国30个省（市、区，不含港澳台和西藏）数据，从互联网发展和数字普惠金融的角度测度数字经济发展水平，从抵抗力、恢复力、再造力3个维度衡量乡村产业韧性，从创新、协调、绿色、开放和共享五方面分析乡村产业高质量发展水平。在此基础上，通过构建双向固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型，对数字经济增强产业韧性，推动乡村产业高质量发展的作用机制进行实证分析。结果 数字经济对乡村产业高质量发展有显著的正向效应，而产业韧性是其中的影响路径；在城镇化水平较高或政府干预程度较低的地区，这种正向效应更加显著；数字经济对乡村产业高质量发展有明显的门槛效应，只有当数字经济发展到一定水平时，才能对乡村产业高质量发展产生显著的正向影响。结论 为更好地利用数字经济增强产业韧性，促进乡村产业高质量发展，应加大对农村地区数字化基础设施建设的投入力度，推动乡村产业主体使用无人机、传感器、智能机器人等数字技术，提高产品质量和附加值，增强乡村产业韧性；加强乡村数字知识宣传和人才培养力度，支持各类高校、科研机构与乡镇企业合作，在农村地区开展数字技术的研发、应用和普及教育；推动数字技术和乡村产业融合发展，鼓励乡镇企业与数字技术企业建立紧密合作关系，促进数字技术在乡村产业的广泛应用。

Abstract:

In the context of comprehensively building a socialist modern agricultural power, this research aims to analyze how to enhance industrial resilience and promote the high-quality development of rural industries. Based on the requirements of the new development stage, this study used the data from 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2019 to measure the level of digital economic development from the perspectives of Internet development and inclusive digital finance. It assessed the resilience of rural industries from three dimensions: resistance, recovery, and reorganization, and analyzed the level of high-quality development of rural industries from five aspects: innovation, coordination, green development, openness, and sharing. Based on this, the study empirically analyzed the mechanism of how digital economy enhances industrial resilience and promoted high-quality development of rural industries by constructing a two-way fixed-effects model, a mediation effects model, and a threshold effects model. The results show that the digital economy has a significant positive effect on the high-quality development of rural industries, and industrial resilience is one of the pathways of influence; This positive effect is more pronounced in areas with higher levels of urbanization or lower levels of government intervention; The digital economy has an obvious threshold effect on the high-quality development of rural industries, and only when the digital economy develops to a certain level can it have a significant positive impact on the high-quality development of rural industries. Therefore, to better utilize the digital economy to enhance industrial resilience and promote high-quality development of rural industries, it is necessary to increase investment in digital infrastructure construction in rural areas, promote the use of digital technologies such as drones, sensors, and intelligent robots by rural industry entities to improve product quality and added value, and enhance the resilience of rural industries. In addition, efforts should be made to strengthen the promotion of digital knowledge and talent cultivation in rural areas, support cooperation between various universities, research institutions, and township enterprises, and promote research, application, and popularization of digital technologies in rural areas. Furthermore, the integration of digital technology and rural industries should be promoted, encouraging close cooperation between township enterprises and digital technology companies to facilitate the widespread application of digital technologies in rural industries.