| 摘要: |
| 目的 土地规模经营和服务规模经营结合形成的农业“双规模”经营方式是经营主体追求更高收益风险比的创新之举，分析“双规模”经营方式的形成逻辑和效果，对于总结农业规模经营经验，完善相关政策具有深远意义。方法 文章基于新疆三地州1 366份实地调研数据，通过二阶段回归法、DEA-Malmquist指数模型、调节效应模型探究农业“双规模”经营方式的形成逻辑与效果。结果 （1）在要素市场发育不完全的情况下，风险分担及经济激励会驱动农业经营主体从单一规模经营方式转向“双规模”经营方式；（2）从效果来看，“双规模”经营方式能够通过技术进步和技术效率的改善提升农业全要素生产率；（3）人力资本和农业智能化则会强化“双规模”经营方式对农业全要素生产率的促进作用。结论 适当鼓励“双规模”经营，能够帮助经营主体分散风险、提升利润，有利于农业全要素生产率的提升，有助于边疆地区农业规模经营的稳定发展。 |
| 关键词: 投资组合理论 “双规模”经营 形成逻辑 农业全要素生产率 调节作用 |
| DOI：10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20241216 |
| 分类号:F323.4 |
| 基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目“粮食主产区土地适度规模经营补偿机制研究”（16BGL132）；教育部人文社会科学研究一般项目“多元主体协同治理、水土资源保护与农业生产效率研究——基于新疆农村的实证分析”（23C10758009） |
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| RESEARCH ON THE FORMATION LOGIC AND EFFECT OF AGRICULTURAL "DOUBLE SCALE" MANAGEMENT MODE——BASED ON THE EMPIRICAL STUDY OF 1 366 SAMPLE FARMERS IN THREE PREFECTURES OF XINJIANG |
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Zhang Gaosheng1, Yang Junxiao1, Abdikranmu Abdurrahman1, Zhao Ruting2
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1.College of Public Administration, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, Xinjiang, China;2.College of Resources and Environment, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450002, Henan, China
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| Abstract: |
| The agricultural "double scale" management mode formed by the combination of land scale management and service scale management is an innovative move for the management body to pursue a higher return risk ratio. Analyzing the formation logic and effect of the "double scale" management mode has far-reaching significance for summarizing the experience of agricultural scale management and improving relevant policies. Based on 1 366 field survey data in three prefecture-level regions of Xinjiang, a two-stage regression method, DEA-Malmquist index model, and adjustment effect model were used to explore the formation logic and effect of agricultural "dual-scale" management mode. The results showed that: (1) When the factor market was not fully developed, risk sharing and economic incentives would drive the agricultural management subject to shift from single-scale management mode to "dual-scale" management mode; (2) From the effect point of view, "dual-scale" management mode could improve agricultural total factor productivity through technological progress and improvement of technical efficiency; (3) Human capital and agricultural intelligence would strengthen the promotion effect of "dual-scale" management mode on agricultural total factor productivity. Therefore, appropriate encouragement of "dual-scale" management can help operators disperse risks and increase profits, improve agricultural total factor productivity, and contribute to the stable development of agricultural large-scale operations in border areas. |
| Key words: portfolio theory "dual scale" management formation logic agricultural total factor productivity regulating effect |
