欠发达地区农业“资源—经济”协调发展评价研究——以四川省25个国家乡村振兴重点帮扶县为例

EVALUATION STUDY ON THE COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURAL "RESOURCE-ECONOMY" IN LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS——TAKING 25 NATIONAL RURAL REVITALISATION COUNTIES IN SICHUAN PROVINCE AS AN EXAMPLE

关键词:  农业资源  农业经济  耦合协调  乡村振兴  欠发达地区

Key words:  agricultural resources  agricultural economy  coupled coordination  rural revitalization  less developed regions

摘要:

目的 依托农业农村特色资源，将欠发达地区的资源优势转化为经济优势，是推进农业农村现代化、加快建设农业强国的时代命题。方法 文章以四川省25个国家乡村振兴重点帮扶县为样本，采用耦合协调模型，测算各重点县农业“资源—经济”协调发展水平，并分析其时序演进规律与空间分布特征，借助空间杜宾模型验证解析其影响因素。结果 （1）2017—2021年乡村振兴重点帮扶县农业“资源—经济”耦合协调水平整体稳步提升，由“轻度失调—失调衰退型”调整为“濒临失调—过渡发展型”；（2）研究期内大部分重点县的耦合协调水平有所提高但幅度并不明显，各县提升速度存在差异，地区间呈现出“良好、稳定、较弱”的梯次分布格局且地区内部极化现象初显；（3）农业产业发展水平与地区经济基础对当地农业“资源—经济”的耦合协调水平具有显著正向影响，暂未观测到空间溢出效应，农业产业发展水平的整体作用效果更为明显。结论 我国欠发达地区农业资源水平较高，但农业经济发展并不理想，“资源—经济”不协调问题突出，建议因地制宜发展特色农业、加强农业技术创新、构建现代农业经营体系，确保农业资源科学转化为农业经济效益。

Abstract:

Relying on the characteristic resources of agriculture and rural areas, transforming the resource advantages of underdeveloped areas into economic advantages is the proposition of the times to promote the modernization of agriculture and rural areas and accelerate the construction of a strong agricultural country. Taking the 25 key counties for national rural revitalization in Sichuan as samples, and the coupled coordination model was used to measure the level of coordinated development of agricultural "resources-economy" in the counties, analyze the time-series evolution law and spatial distribution characteristics, and validate the influencing factors with the help of the spatial Durbin model. The results showed that: (1) From 2017 to 2021, the level of agricultural "resource-economy" system coupling and coordination in the counties had steadily increased, and the overall level had been adjusted from "mildly dysfunctional-dysfunctional decline" to "near dysfunctional-transitional development". (2) Most of the counties in the study period, the coupling coordination degree had been improved but the magnitude was not obvious, there were differences in the speed of enhancement of the counties, and among the regions showing a "good, stable, weak" gradient distribution pattern, the internal polarization phenomenon was beginning to emerge. (3) The level of agricultural industry development and the regional economic foundation had a significant positive impact on the local agricultural "resource-economy" coupling degree of coordination, and the spatial spillover effect had not been observed for the time being, and the overall effect of the level of agricultural industry development was more obvious. In summary, the level of agricultural resources in the less developed regions of China is relatively high, but the development of the agricultural economy is not satisfactory, and the problem of "resource-economy" incoherence is prominent. It is suggested that developing characteristic agriculture according to local conditions, strengthening of agricultural technological innovation, and constructing of a modern agricultural management system, so as to ensure that agricultural resources are scientifically transformed into agricultural economic benefits.