基于多视角群组划分“一带一路”沿线重要节点国家农业合作研究

REASEARCH ON AGRICULTURAL COOPERATION OF IMPORTANT COUNTRIES ALONG BELT AND ROAD BASED ON MULTI-VIEW GROUP ANALYSIS

关键词:  “一带一路”  农业国际合作  群组划分  节点国家  新冠肺炎

Key words:  "Belt and Road"  international cooperation in agriculture  group dividing  node countries  COVID-19

摘要:

目的 基于多视角开展“一带一路”沿线国家群组划分，提出“一带一路”农业国际合作重要战略节点国家，并探讨新冠肺炎疫情对重要战略节点国家与我国农业国际合作的影响，对进一步促进我国与“一带一路”沿线国家全面农业国际合作，打破农业国际合作瓶颈具有重要意义。方法 文章通过地理位置、地缘政治、资源禀赋、农产品贸易等多个角度，结合引力模型和聚类分析法，对“一带一路”农业国际合作的重要战略节点国家进行分析。并从农产品贸易和投资两个角度探讨新冠肺炎疫情对重要战略节点国家和我国农业国际合作的影响。结果 在“一带一路”沿线国家中，我国农业合作的重要战略节点国家按重要性划分为两个层次，第一层次为俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、波兰、缅甸、越南、泰国、巴基斯坦、埃及、印度尼西亚和马来西亚；第二层次为希腊、柬埔寨和老挝。新冠肺炎疫情对重要战略节点国家和我国的农业贸易、投资合作造成了不可忽略的影响。结论 为进一步加强我国与“一带一路”重要战略节点国家农业国际合作，应在十九大提出的“六个坚持”理念指引下，从基础设施建设、资源禀赋、部门协调、共同抗疫四个方面，继续深化“一带一路”农业国际合作。

Abstract:

This paper divides the countries along the "Belt and Road" into groups based on the multiple perspectives, proposes the important strategic node countries of international cooperation in agriculture along the "Belt and Road". And it discusses the effects of the COVID-19 on the international cooperation in agriculture between the important strategic node countries and China. These studies have a great significance to further promote comprehensive international cooperation in agriculture across China and countries along the "Belt and Road" and to break the bottleneck of international cooperation in agriculture. Following the multiple perspectives, such as geographic location, geopolitics, resource endowments, and agricultural product trade, combined with the gravity model and cluster analysis method, this research analyzed the important strategic node countries along the "Belt and Road" of international cooperation in agriculture, and discussed the impact of the COVID-19 on international cooperation in agriculture from the perspective of agricultural product trade and investment between the important strategic node countries and China. For the countries along the "Belt and Road", the key strategic node countries were divided into two levels according to their importance. The first level included Russia, Kazakhstan, Poland, Burma, Vietnam, Thailand, Pakistan, Egypt, Indonesia and Malaysia, and the second level included Greece, Cambodia and Laos. The effects of COVID-19 on agricultural trade and investment cooperation between important strategic node countries and China cannot be ignored. To further strengthen the international agricultural cooperation between China and the important strategic node countries along the "Belt and Road", the "Belt and Road" agricultural international cooperation should be deepened in the four aspects: infrastructure construction, resource endowment, departmental coordination, and joint fight against the COVID-19, which under the guidance of the "six persistence" concepts proposed by the 19th session of National Congress of the Communist Party of China.